05 May 2015

Denver Municipal Election Results

The results of the Denver Municipal Election will be available at the Denver Clerk and Recorder's election result webpage, sometime in the next few minutes (since the polls close at 7 p.m.).  Since the ballots are short, computer scanned, and were mostly turned in long before elections day, the initial preliminary results may be decisive.  (Data on incumbency from here).

There are 351,520 active registered voters in Denver, and probably about 20% of them voted.  So far, 69,338 votes have been reported. which will not include all votes cast today, but probably will include all votes cast yesterday and probably some votes cast this morning.

The twelve first round winners:

The clear first round winners, including four new faces, are:

Michael Hancock (Mayor) (incumbent) (4 candidate race 79.98%)

Timothy O'Brien (Auditor) (open seat) (2 candidate race 54.02%)
Precinct by precinct results shown here.

Debra Johnson (Clerk and Recorder) (incumbent) (2 candidate race 84.09%)

Debbie Ortega (City Council at Large) (incumbent) (5 candidate race vote for two)

Robin Kneich (City Council at Large) (incumbent) (5 candidate race vote for two)

Rafeal Espinoza (City Council District 1) (defeating the incumbent in a 2 candidate race 66.8%)

Paul Lopez (City Council District 3) (incumbent) (unopposed)

Kendra Black (City Council District 4) (open seat) (3 candidate race 57.38%)
Precinct by precinct results here.

Mary Beth Susman (City Council District 5) (incumbent) (unopposed)

Paul Kashman (City Council District 6) (open seat) (2 candidate race 54.66%)
Precinct by precinct results here.

Christopher Herndon (City Council District 8) (incumbent) (unopposed)

Albus Brooks (City Council District 9) (incumbent) (3 candidate race; 67.14%)

As used above, "unopposed" means "unopposed" by non-write in candidates.  The runner up in the at large city council race, Jeffery Washington, trailed by 16,998 votes out of 98,670 cast (two per voter) in that race.

The four June runoff elections:

The runoffs will be in the following four open City Council District races (with the candidate winning the most votes listed firs and the number of candidates referring only to non-write in candidates):

City Council District 2:  John Kidd 34.8% v. Kevin Flynn 22.41% (out of 5 candidates)
** Gap to third place 256 votes from 5,753 votes reported so far.
Precinct by precinct winners shown here.

City Council District 7: Jolon Clark 27.07% v. Anne McGihon 16.5% (out of 9 candidates)
** Gap to third place 84 votes from from 5,504 votes reported so far.
Precinct by precinct winners shown here.

City Council District 10: Wayne New 37.36% v. Anna Jones 32.58% (out of 5 candidates)
** Gap to third place 1,076 votes from 7,904 votes reported so far.
Precinct by precinct winners shown here.

City Council District 11: Stacie Gillmore 38.18% v. Sean Bradley 23.53% (out of 5 candidates)
** Gap to third place 73 votes from 3,085 votes reported so far.
Precinct by precinct winners shown here.

Turnout is likely to be lower in each of these districts than it was in the first round, based upon historical experience.

Denver Municipal Election Ballots Due Today At 7 p.m.

* Ballots in Denver's Municipal Election this year must be received by 7 p.m. today.  It is too late to drop them in the mail, but you can drop them at one of many locations around the city.

Many ballots, including the ones distributed to my wife and I have a misprint saying that they are due in June.

DISREGARD THIS JUNE DEADLINE STATEMENT PRINTED ON THE INSTRUCTIONS FOR YOUR BALLOT.  THIS IS A MISPRINT AND IF YOU DON'T VOTE BY 7 P.M. TODAY, YOUR VOTE WILL NOT BE COUNTED.

* In other Colorado political news, tomorrow is the last day of the 2015 legislative session, one in which Republicans have controlled the state senate and Democrats have controlled the state house.

As a result of the partisan split of control, many bills, even bills with broad bipartisan support in the third reading vote in the house where the bills were introduced, are being killed in the other house in a tit-for-tat that has been aptly described as mutual assured destruction.  The number of bills passed by the legislature this year may hit an all time low.

04 May 2015

Tomorrow Is The Last Day To Vote In Denver's Municipal Elections

All ballots must be received tomorrow, May 5, 2015 by 7 p.m. to count in the first round of Denver's municipal election.  It is too late to count on a ballot dropped in the mail reaching its destination on time, but there are many dropoff locations around the city.  There is no "in person" voting in this year's Denver municipal election.

There are no ballot issues in this year's election.

* Incumbent Mayor Michael Hancock is opposed only by three nuisance candidates who have raised no money and not mounted serious campaigns who appear on the ballot, and three write-in candidates.

* Incumbent Clerk and Recorder Debra Johnson faces opposition from Joan Poston, a microbiologist who hopes to bring her technical savvy to the position.  Johnson is the front runner in the race.

* The city auditor's race pits former state auditor Timothy O'Brien against term limited City Councilman Chris Nevitt.  Nevitt is the front runner in the race and has raised about $293,000 v. about $41,000 for O'Brien in campaign contributions.

* A field of five candidates are pursuing two City Council at large seats which will go to the the top two vote getters.  The incumbents are Robin Kneich and Debbie Ortega.  There are three challengers: Kayvan Kalatbari, a pizza and marijuana businessman, is the only challenger that has raised significant campaign funds (although less than the two incumbents).  Jose Silva is running with a particular focus on police conduct reforms.  Jeffery Washington, an African-American Republican, is running on a fiscal responsibility platform.  Neither Silva nor Washington have raised even $5,000 in campaign contributions.

The real drama in this race will be to see if Kayvan Kalabari unseats either of the incumbents.

There is no realistic chance that any of the five offices above (Mayor, Clerk and Recorder, Auditor and City Council at Large) will be filled in runoff elections.

* There are eleven single member city council district races.  To win in the first round, a candidate must receive a majority of the voters cast in the race; otherwise the top two candidates face off in a runoff election in June.  There could be as many as six runoff elections in June, if no candidate in races with three or more candidates secured a majority in the first round.  The other five city council district races will definitely be resolved in the first round.

In Council District 1, Espinoza faces Shepard and the two candidate race means that one of them will win in the first round.  Espinoza has raised about $35,000.  Shepard has raised almost $99,000.

In Council District 2, five candidates on the ballot and a write in candidate are seeking the office.

In Council District 3, Paul Lopez faces only a write-in candidate and is a shoe in to win.

In Council District 4, three candidates are on the ballot.

In Council District 5, Mary Beth Susman is unopposed.

In Council District 6, Kashman and Adams are facing off for the open seat in a close race including the Washington Park neighborhood.  Adams, a former state legislator leads in fundraising, although both have raised substantial amounts of campaign cash, but Kashman has his history of former owner and editor of the Washington Park Profile newspaper which has covered municipal issues for decades.  This race will be decided in the first round.

In Council District 7, there are nine candidates seeking the open seat left by Chris Nevitt who stepped down because he was term limited.  Anne McGihon, former state house representative for a substantial part of the district, is the strong front runner based on in house polling, despite being only on a par in fundraising with several of the stronger competing candidates.

In Council District 8, Christopher Herndon is unopposed.

In Council District 9, three candidates are on the ballot.

In Council District 10, five candidates are on the ballot.

In Council District 11, five candidates are on the ballot.